U.S. Weekend Box Office Round Up Fri Dec 22 – Sun Dec 24, 2017

You gotta love a film that smashes its way to $400m at the domestic box office within 11 days of releasing and that’s what Star Wars: The Last Jedi (4,232 screens) is slated to land on (or there abouts) after this weekend when it adds $71.7m to the haul in its 2nd turn. Even though this represents a mammoth 67% drop from its opening weekend, Episode 8 is poised to finish Christmas Eve with a whopping $399-$400m bounty in the can. It has now claimed #3 highest grossing domestic release of the year behind Wonder Woman ($413m) and Beauty and the Beast ($504m). At the end of weekend 2 Star Wars: The Force Awakens had grossed $540m which puts The Last Jedi at roughly 26% off the pace and positions the finish line in the $690m-$700m range. That’s good news as you could bet this film cost in the $250m range to produce. Internationally, the film is already nudging $750m and will definitely cross the $1bn mark in the coming weeks.

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (3,765 screens) rolls into cinemas and scoops up $44.3m for the 3 day weekend on a very healthy $11,766 screen average. This is a great news story for the $90m production, which opened on the Thursday and now has a cumulative total of $60.8m, as it’ll put the finish line in the $180-200m range domestically. Armed with better than expected reviews, it’s landed a 77% fresh rotten tomatoes score, and with a cast including Dwayne Johnson & Kevin Hart, the film has definitely held its place in the sun against Star Wars.

Pitch Perfect 3 (3,447 screens) opens to $25.2m on a solid 7,311 screen average. The 4 day cumulative landing at $35.6m puts the finale of the trilogy 48.6% behind Pitch Perfect 2’s $69.2m opening weekend. This result will put the film’s finish line somewhere in the $90-$100m zone, well shy of the $184.2m its predecessor earned yet ahead of the original’s $65m finish. Reviewers hated the $45m production, slamming it with a 29% rotten score, when part 2 hit a 65% fresh high note.

The Greatest Showman (3,006 screens) bombs on opening with an $8.2m 3 day weekend on a $2,728 screen average. Opening on Wednesday, the 5 day cumulative came in at $16.7m for the $84m production, which spells disaster for the musical which pegs it in the Rock of Ages league and points a final post at around the $38-$40m domestically. Reviewers weren’t favourable with a 51% rotten score. International prospects are just as slim with the only shining light possibly being Australia (the Hugh Jackman connection) but, even so, locally the film wasn’t received well.

Coco (2,111 screens) has held it over last week’s Ferdinand once again with a $9.8m take to bring the domestic take to $165.9m. That puts this Pixar offering in the $190m range and in line with the original Toy Story from 1995 (unadjusted). It’s been a really disappointing Christmas season for animated films across the board.

Ferdinand (3,630 screens) continues its disastrous run for Blue Sky with an anemic 2nd weekend take of $7m to bring the domestic cume to $28.4m after 2 weeks. Although it was warmly received with a 71% fresh critical score, it too targets the latin/Spanish speaking audiences primarily (even though the film’s vocal performances are so scattershot they border on racist). This should hit $50m for the $111m production which puts it on the same trajectory as the other Spanish flavoured animated film -2014’s The Book of Life – which grossed $50m.

Downsizing (2,668 screens) bombs epically with a $5.1m weekend on a $1,912 screen average. An unmitigated disaster in a long line of 2017 expensive failures for the mighty Paramount (Ghost in the Shell, Rings, Suburbicon, mother!, Transformers: The Last Knight) whose market share for 2017 has fallen to 5%. Reviewers weren’t kind handing it a 51% rotten score and with $7.1m in the tank so far, a domestic finish line is in the sub $20m range. On a $68m budget, this is going to hurt big time.

Darkest Hour (806 screens) adds 722 screens and boosts the business by 416% to take $4.3m on a modest $5,335 screen average. With $9m in the kitty, this should be able to push to a $117-$20m finish should the awards season favour Gary Oldman and give word of mouth currency to the film.

The Shape of Water (726 screens) adds 568 screens and bolsters the box office by 106% for a $3.5m weekend on a $4,821 screen average. With $9.5m in the kitty thus far and a slew of award nominations coming its way, the wild card here is the genre elements that could bust the film out into the mainstream a bit harder and push the finish to north of $20m. The expansion was good, but it wasn’t exceptional.

Father Figures (2,902 screens) bombs magnificently with a $3.3m opening weekend on a dead and buried screen average of $1,137. Originally called Bastards, the film drew the ire of critics who slammed it with 22% rotten. The Owen Wilson led comedy fell apart on opening and, with $4.78m in the kitty as a cumulative, this will finish up for sub $15m.

The Post (9 screens) opens on limited release and smashes a mammoth $500k on a $55.5k screen average. Bang! Spielberg, Hanks, Streep on journalism = critical and commercial gold I would say. Reviewers were generally enamoured with the film, awarding it an 86% fresh score. National Board of Review awarded it Best Picture, Best Actor and Best Actress for it and it will certainly be a heavy hitter in this awards season.

Figures from Deadline

  1. Star Wars: The Last Jedi  (DIS), 4,232 theaters / $25M Fri (-76%)/3-day cume: $71.7M (-67%)/4-day: $102.5M/Total:$399.1M/ Wk 2
  2. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle  (SONY), 3,765 theaters / $12.5M Fri /3-day cume: $32M/4-day: $44.3M/Total:$60.8M/ Wk 1
  3. Pitch Perfect 3  (UNI), 3,447 theaters / $10.6M Fri  (includes $2.1M previews)/3-day cume: $25.2M/4-day: $35.6M/ Wk 1
  4. The Greatest Showman  (FOX), 3,006 theaters / $3.1M Fri /3-day cume: $8.2M/4-day: $12.1M/Total: $16.7M/Wk 1
  5. Coco(DIS), 2,111 theaters (-1,044) / Fri: $2.4M / 3-day cume: $7.1M(-28%)/4-day: $9.8M/Total: $165.9M / Wk 5
  6. Ferdinand  (FOX), 3,630 theaters (+9) / $2.76M Fri (-23%)/3-day cume: $7M(-48%)/4-day: $9M/Total: $28.4M/ Wk 2

7.Downsizing  (PAR), 2,668 theaters / $2M Fri /3-day cume: $5.1M/4-day: $7.1/ Wk 1

  1. Darkest Hour (FOC), 806 theaters (+722)/ $1.4M Fri /3-day cume: $4.3M (+416%) /4-day: $6.1M/Total: $9M/ Wk 5
  2. The Shape of Water  (FSL), 726 theaters (+568) / $1.1m Fri /3-day cume: $3.5M (+106%) /4-day: $5M/Total: $9.5M/Wk 4
  3. Father Figures (ALC/WB), 2,902 theaters / $1.3M Fri /3-day cume: $3.3M/4-day: $4.78M/ Wk 1
  4. Wonder(Lionsgate), 1,130 theaters (-1917)/$805k Fri /3-day cume: $2.2M(-58%)/4-day: $3M/ Total: $115.9M/Wk 5

NOTABLES:

The Post  (FOX), 9 theaters / $158K Fri/3-day cume: $500k /PTA: $55,5K /4-day: $725k/ Wk 1

Hostiles (ENT), 3 theaters / $7K Fri/3-day cume: $19k /PTA: $6K /4-day: $27k/ Wk 1

Happy End (SPC), 3 theaters / $6K Fri/3-day cume: $16k /PTA: $5,4K /4-day: $23k/ Wk 1