U.S. Weekend Box Office Round Up Fri Dec 30, 2016 – Mon Jan 2, 2017

We are a part of the Rogue One Nation! Yes, there is no doubt and no stopping Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (4,157 screens) remaining on top of the U.S. box office over the NY weekend as it will smash its way to a circa $64m 4 day weekend for its 3rd week of trade. Bringing its domestic haul to $438.8m, Rogue One became the 2nd highest grossing film of 2016 in the U.S. on Sunday (It had amassed $424.6m by then) behind Finding Dory’s $486.3m take.  The film has also now out grossed Star Wars Episode II ($311m) and Star Wars Episode III ($380.3m) and is $36.5m shy of Star Wars Episode I‘s $474.5m haul, which it will cross by this time next weekend easily to become the 2nd highest grossing Star Wars entry in the canon on initial theatrical release behind Star Wars: The Force Awakens. With eyes on a $550m domestic finish, the film has already hit the $750m worldwide and will easily smash $1.3bn before it’s all said and done.

Sing (4,029 screens) has a corker of a long weekend with circa $55m for the 4 days to bring its domestic take to $178m. Not bad for 2 weeks of trade for the $75m production and it places the film only $36m behind Moana‘s cumulative after 6 weeks (which the film will surpass in the next 3 weeks).  With no major new family animations releasing in the next month outside of Paramount’s sure-to-bomb Monster Trucks (and no girls are going to see that), the future looks very rosy for Sing and it should happily kick along to a $350m result.

Passengers (3,478 screens) lands in 3rd with $20.6m for the long weekend to bring its haul to circa $66m. This is one of those films where the division between critic and general audience is very wide – 32% rotten from critics and an A- Cinemascore from audiences. The $120m production is looking at a $120m finish on the U.S. side and will be looking to international to make up its short fall. Deadline reports:

Two financial analysts outside the studio tells us that $400M worldwide theatrical would be the breakeven number for this movie after a $120M production cost and global $150M $124M P&A.

Given the star power (though that hasn’t really helped here) and the holiday global release, $400m worldwide isn’t unrealistic for the film at this point.

Moana (2,775 screens) claims 4th with $13.5m to cross $212m domestically on its way to a $250m finish. As international markets start coming on line from last week, this is another solid performer for Disney.

Fences (2,301 screens) steals 5th with a solid $13m in weekend 3 to bring its domestic cume to $32.75m. The $24m production, which will now start leveraging off strong awards contention on the back of solid word of mouth & critical praise, has that one advantage of being a solid adult day player. This has weekday business which is why you’ll see it resting in this ranking area for the next month or so.

Why Him? (3,008 screens) slips to 6th with $12.9m for the long weekend to bring its gross to $37.5m. The $38m budgeted film is suffering from the attached-to-a-holiday-date curse (it’s set around Christmas) and, whilst it will come in around the $60m mark, it’s disappointing the film is sidling away so fast given it is the only out and out teenage/adult audience comedy in the market place.

La La Land (750 screens) smashes $12.3m on a $16,400 screen average. Kids, this is the film to watch assault the box office as the screen count slowly but surely widens in the lead up to Oscars. With $36.9m in the bank so far, the film has almost tripled the full life gross of Chazelle’s former Oscar winner Whiplash ($13m) and this should go on to push its way to a near $100m gross.

Assassin’s Creed (2,996 screens) is the one that’s going to hurt Fox for the start of 2017 as it takes $10.4m for the 4 days to bring its life gross to $41.4m after 2 weeks of trade on a $125m budget. Sitting on circa $60m globally, there’ll be a near $100m write down on this once P&A and film hire cuts are taken from the grosses. For the U.S. this will be all over for $65m. Kiss a sequel goodbye!

Hidden Figures (25 screens) takes $1.2m on a $41,038 screen average! BANG! This limited bow (the film expands Jan 6) is a massive result for the feel good biopic and scored big with critics as it sits on 92% fresh. It’s great news for Fox, too, as it will help assuage the losses on Assassin’s Creed as Hidden Figures is shaping up to be another The Help ($170m on a $25m budget). Watch this space, people! Watch this space!

Patriot’s Day (7 screens) continues on its awards qualifying limited release with $197,000 for the weekend on a $28,143 screen average. The film will continue on a limited run until Jan 13, 2017 when it goes national.

20th Century Women (4 screens) opens to $151,000 on a mammoth $37,750 screen average. The Mike Mills drama, which is opening for awards qualifying namely targeting Greta Gerwig and Annette Bening, scored with critics garnering a 93% fresh score. The film expands on Jan 20th, 2017.

In Cinemas Friday January 6, 2017 – Underworld: Blood Wars, Hidden Figures (Expands) , A Monster Calls (Expands)

Figures from Deadline

1.) Rogue One  (DIS), 4,157 theaters  (0) / $18.1M Fri. (-21%) / $14.5M Sat. (-20%) / $16.7M Sun. (+15%) / 3-day cume: $49.3M to $50M / $14.2M Mon. (-15%) / 4-day cume: $63.6M / Total cume: $438.8M / Wk 3

2.) Sing (UNI), 4,029 theaters (+7) / $17M Fri. (+30%) / $12.3M to $12.5M Sat. (-27%) / $11.95M Sun. (-5%) / 3-day: $41.4M to $41.6M / $13.1M Mon. (+10%) / 4-day: $53.7M to $54.8M / Total: $177.3M to $178.4M / Wk 2

3.) Passengers  (SONY/VR), 3,478 theaters (0) / $5.6M Fri. (+25%) / $4.65M Sat. (-18%) / $5.1M Sun. (+10%) / 3-day: $15.4M to $15.7M (+2%) / $4.3M to $4.5M Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $19.75M to $20.6M / Total: $65M to $65.7M / Wk 2

4.) Moana  (DIS), 2,775 Theaters (+88) / $4.2M (+44%) Fri. / $3M Sat. (-25%) / $2.9M Sun. (-5%) / 3-day: $10.15M (+32%) / $3.36M Mon. (+15%) / 4-day: $13.47M / Total: $212.5M / Wk 6

5.) Fences (PAR) 2,301 theaters (+68) / $3.4M (+13500%) Fri. / $3.2M Sat. (-6%) / $3M+ Sun. (-8%) / 3-day: $10.1M (+52%) / 4-day: $13M / Total: $32.75M / Wk 3

6.) Why Him? (FOX), 3,008 theaters (+91) / $3.4M Fri. (-13%) / $2.68M Sat. (-21%) / $3.4M Sun. (+30%) / 3-day: $9.5M to $9.7M (-20%) / $2.9M to $3.1M Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $12.5M to $12.9M / Total: $37.1M to $37.5M / Wk 2

7.) La La Land (Lionsgate) 750 (+16) / $3.1M Fri (+210%) / $3.1M Sat. (0%) / $3.1M Sun. (0%) / 3-day: $9.3M to $9.5M (+63%) / $2.66M (-15%) / 4-day: $12M to $12.3M / Total: $36.7M to $36.9M / Wk 4

8.) Assassin’s Creed  (FOX), 2,996 theaters (+26) / $3M Fri. (-20%) / $2.2M Sat. (-27%) / $2.66M Sun. (+20%) / 3-day: $7.9M to $8.1M (-21%) / $2.26M Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $10.1M to $10.4M / Total: $41.2M to $41.4M / Wk 2

9/10/11.) Manchester by the Sea (RSA/AMZ) 1,206 theaters (-7) / $1.36M (+44%) Fri. / $1.4M Sat. (+5%) / $1.3M to $1.6M Sun. (-3% to 5%) / 3-day: $4.17M to $4.49M (+51%) / $1.16M Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $5.35M / Total: $29.55M / Wk 7

Collateral Beauty  (WB/NL), 2,745 theaters (-283) / $1.39M Fri. (+12%) / $1.27M Sat. (-9%) / $1.4M Sun. (+10%) / 3-day: $4.1M (-15%) / $1.1M Mon. (-20%) / 4-day: $5.1M to $5.5M / Total: $26.8M to $27.1M / Wk 3

Fantastic Beasts (WB) 1,842 theaters (-124) / $1.4M Fri. (+41%) / $1.2M Sat. (-14%) / $1.2M Sun. (0%) / 3-day: $4.1M (+35%) / $1.16M Mon. (-10%) / 4-day: $5M / Total: $225.2M / Wk 7

Notables:

Hidden Figures (Fox/Chernin) 25 theaters / $272K Fri. / $248K Sat. (-9%) / $273K Sun. (+10%) / 3-day: $794K to $850K (+54%) / 3-day Per Screen Average: $31,750 / $232K Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $1M to $1.2M / 4-day per screen: $41,038 / Total cume: $2.5M to $2.7M

Patriot’s Day  (CBS/LG), 7 theaters / $50K Fri. (-11%) / $37K Sat. (-25%) / $50K Sun. (+35%) / 3-day: $135K to $140K (+12% to 15%) / 3-day per screen: $19,309 / $43K Mon. (-15%) / 4-day PTA: $25K to $27K / 4-day: $177K to $197K / Total: $658K to $675K / Wk 2

20th Century Women (AP/A24), 4 theaters / $40K Fri. / $31K Sat. (-21%) / $43K Sun. (+40%) / 3-day: $114K / 3-day per screen: $28,521 / $37K Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $151K / 4-day PTA: $37,760K / Total: $218K / Wk 1

Silence (PAR), 4 theaters / $27K Fri. (-58%) / $22K Sat. (-18%) / $30K Sun. (+35%) / 3-day: $74K to $79K (-40% to 44%) / 3-day per screen: $18,500 to $19,800 / 4-day: $95K to $105K / 4-day PTA: $25K to $26,250 / Total: $322K to $332K / Wk 2

Julieta (SPC), 4 theaters / $21K Fri. (-18%) / $13K to $16K Sat. (-25%) / $22K Sun. (+35%) / 3-day: $59K (-8%) / 3-day per screen: $8,414 /$18M Mon. (-15%) / 4-day: $77K / 4-day PTA: $11K / Total: $228K / Wk 2

Live by Night (WB), 4 theaters / $11K Fri. / $9K Sat. (-25%) / $12K Sun. (+35%) / 3-day: $32K (-3%) / $9K Mon. (-20%) / 4-day: $41K / Total: $116K / Wk 2

A Monster Calls (FOC), 4 theaters / $7K Fri. (-54%) / $6K Sat. (-20%) / 3-day: $19K to $20K (-35%) / 3-day per screen: $5K / 4-day: $25K / 4-day per screen: $6,596 / Total: $76K / Wk 2

Paterson (BST/AMZ), 4 theaters / $24K Fri. / 3-day: $70K / 3-day per screen: $17,690 / 4-day: $91K / 4-day per screen: $22,928K / Total cume: $123K / Wk 1

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